Thu, Oct 30 2025 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.28)
0.40 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.1% | 32.7% | 13.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.5%
0 - 0
21.8%
2 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Merw | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aşgabat | 0 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.5% | 9.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aşgabat | Merw |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 20% |
| Attack | 20% | 20% |
| Defense | 27% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aşgabat | Merw | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 18% | 25% | 22% | 8% | 9% | 9% |
| Draws | 27% | 0% | 13% | 33% | 27% | 30% |
| Loses | 55% | 75% | 65% | 58% | 64% | 61% |
Form: Aşgabat: LLDWWLWLLLDLLLLLWWLLLDL • Merw: LWDLLLLDLWLDLLLDLLLDDLD
League goals
| Metric | Aşgabat | Merw | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 20 | 28 | 48 | 16 | 18 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aşgabat | Merw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 48% | 87% | 30% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 57% | 13% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 26% | 4% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 22% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aşgabat | Merw | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aşgabat | Merw |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aşgabat | Merw |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 7-0 | 1-3 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aşgabat | Merw |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 50.3% | 49.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Aşgabat or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Aşgabat = 1.12 (league 1.28), Merw = 0.40 (league 1.35)
| Merw | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aşgabat | 0 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.5% | 9.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.1% · Draw 32.7% · Away win 13.1%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1