Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.31)
0.30 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.9% | 32.4% | 9.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
27.1%
0 - 0
23.6%
2 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Şagadam | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ahal | 0 | 23.6% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.1% | 8.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.5% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ahal | Şagadam |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 45% | 10% |
| Defense | 75% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ahal | Şagadam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 54% | 31% | 42% |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% | 23% | 46% | 35% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 23% | 23% | 23% |
Form: Ahal: WWLWWWWLWWLDWLWDDLDWLWDD • Şagadam: WWDLLDWDWWWLDWWLDLDWWDWDDL
League goals
| Metric | Ahal | Şagadam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 24 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 6 | 18 | 24 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ahal | Şagadam | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 54% | 73% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 21% | 19% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 21% | 8% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 4% | 4% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ahal | Şagadam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ahal | Şagadam |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ahal | Şagadam |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | 1-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ahal | Şagadam |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 82% | 18% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 81% | 19% |
| Total | 69.8% | 30.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Ahal or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ahal = 1.14 (league 1.31), Şagadam = 0.30 (league 1.34)
| Şagadam | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ahal | 0 | 23.6% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.1% | 8.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.5% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.9% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 9.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
