Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 09:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.29)
2.18 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.7% | 18.5% | 67.4% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.5%
0 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Ahal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merw | 0 | 5.3% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Merw | Ahal |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 73% |
| Attack | 33% | 73% |
| Defense | 7% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Merw | Ahal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 8% | 7% | 7% | 57% | 54% | 56% |
| Draws | 31% | 21% | 26% | 21% | 23% | 22% |
| Loses | 62% | 71% | 67% | 21% | 23% | 22% |
Form: Merw: LWDLLLLDLWLDLLLDLLLDDLDLLLL • Ahal: WWLWWWWLWWLDWLWDDLDWLWDDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Merw | Ahal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 27 | 50 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 18 | 28 | 46 | 6 | 18 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Merw | Ahal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 37% | 74% | 78% | 48% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 52% | 52% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 22% | 37% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 19% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Merw | Ahal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 11 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Merw | Ahal |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Merw | Ahal |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 7-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Merw | Ahal |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 8% | 92% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 21% | 79% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 8% | 92% |
| Total | 15.5% | 84.5% |
Advice: Winner : Ahal
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Merw = 0.76 (league 1.29), Ahal = 2.18 (league 1.35)
| Ahal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merw | 0 | 5.3% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.7% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 67.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1