Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 21:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.06 (league 1.56) 2.76 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.8% 16.6% 31.0%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.4%
2 - 2
5.3%
3 - 3
5.0%
Score & goals probability table
Jalapa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Matagalpa 0 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
1 0.9% 2.5% 3.5% 3.2% 2.2% 1.2%
2 1.4% 3.8% 5.3% 4.9% 3.4% 1.9%
3 1.4% 3.9% 5.4% 5.0% 3.4% 1.9%
4 1.1% 3.0% 4.1% 3.8% 2.6% 1.4%
5 0.7% 1.8% 2.5% 2.3% 1.6% 0.9%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMatagalpaJalapa
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack64%71%
Defense50%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Matagalpa Jalapa
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins29%43%36%63%0%36%
Draws14%43%29%13%33%21%
Loses57%14%36%25%67%43%

Form: Matagalpa: WWLDLWLDLDLWWD • Jalapa: LLLWLLWLWWDDDW

League goals

Metric Matagalpa Jalapa
HATHAT
GF total12112318826
GF avg1.71.61.62.31.31.9
GA total1482291726
GA avg2.01.11.61.12.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMatagalpaJalapa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%79%86%71%
1.557%64%57%57%
2.514%7%21%29%
3.57%7%14%21%
4.50%0%7%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMatagalpaJalapa
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricMatagalpaJalapa
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMatagalpaJalapa
Wins22
Draws13
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-25-0—
Biggest losses1-42-10-25-1
Goals For4252
Goals Against4235

Model comparison

MetricMatagalpaJalapa
Form47%53%
Att47%53%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Jalapa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ 1xBet
Draw3.55 @ Betano
Away3.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Superbet
No2.27 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Matagalpa = 3.06 (league 1.56), Jalapa = 2.76 (league 0.94)

Jalapa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Matagalpa 0 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
1 0.9% 2.5% 3.5% 3.2% 2.2% 1.2%
2 1.4% 3.8% 5.3% 4.9% 3.4% 1.9%
3 1.4% 3.9% 5.4% 5.0% 3.4% 1.9%
4 1.1% 3.0% 4.1% 3.8% 2.6% 1.4%
5 0.7% 1.8% 2.5% 2.3% 1.6% 0.9%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.8% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 31.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1