Iraqi League — Iraq
Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 15:00 • Franso Hariri Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.28) 1.40 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.2% 25.5% 37.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
8.8%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Al Shorta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbil 0 6.3% 8.8% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.6% 12.0% 8.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.2% 5.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.7% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricErbilAl Shorta
Played43
Form83%100%
Attack44%33%
Defense78%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 26 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 12 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Erbil Al Shorta
HATHAT
Played224213
Wins100%50%75%100%100%100%
Draws0%50%25%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Erbil: WWDW • Al Shorta: WWW

League goals

Metric Erbil Al Shorta
HATHAT
GF total538516
GF avg2.51.52.02.51.02.0
GA total314202
GA avg1.50.51.01.00.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineErbilAl Shorta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%100%33%
1.575%25%67%33%
2.550%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricErbilAl Shorta
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricErbilAl Shorta
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricErbilAl Shorta
Wins23
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-32-00-1
Biggest losses————
Goals For3331
Goals Against2120

Model comparison

MetricErbilAl Shorta
Form53%47%
Att57%43%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%100%
Goals26%74%
Total42.3%57.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Al Shorta

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Erbil = 1.36 (league 1.28), Al Shorta = 1.40 (league 1.07)

Al Shorta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbil 0 6.3% 8.8% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.6% 12.0% 8.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.2% 5.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.7% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.2% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 37.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1