Iraqi League — Iraq
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
2.35 (league 1.28) 1.22 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.4% 18.9% 18.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 1
8.1%
2 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Baghdad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naft 0 2.8% 3.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.6% 8.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.8% 9.5% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.1% 7.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 3.6% 4.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNaftBaghdad
Played34
Form44%50%
Attack55%55%
Defense64%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 26 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.36 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Naft Baghdad
HATHAT
Played033314
Wins—33%33%33%100%50%
Draws—33%33%0%0%0%
Loses—33%33%67%0%50%

Form: Naft: WLD • Baghdad: LLWW

League goals

Metric Naft Baghdad
HATHAT
GF total066516
GF avg0.02.02.01.71.01.5
GA total044606
GA avg0.01.31.32.00.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNaftBaghdad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%75%75%
1.567%67%25%50%
2.533%0%25%25%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNaftBaghdad
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricNaftBaghdad
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricNaftBaghdad
Wins10
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-34-10-1
Biggest losses—2-10-3—
Goals For0341
Goals Against0230

Model comparison

MetricNaftBaghdad
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Naft or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Naft = 2.35 (league 1.28), Baghdad = 1.22 (league 1.07)

Baghdad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naft 0 2.8% 3.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.6% 8.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.8% 9.5% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.1% 7.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 3.6% 4.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.4% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 18.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1