Mineiro - 3
— Brazil
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 18:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.57)
1.11 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.1% | 27.6% | 31.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
11.8%
0 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Novo Esporte Clube | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tupi | 0 | 9.2% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tupi | Novo Esporte Clube |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 70% |
| Defense | 30% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tupi | Novo Esporte Clube | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Draws | 33% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Form: Tupi: DWDDWW • Novo Esporte Clube: WDDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Tupi | Novo Esporte Clube | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tupi | Novo Esporte Clube | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 83% | 67% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 83% | 33% | 50% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tupi | Novo Esporte Clube | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tupi | Novo Esporte Clube |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tupi | Novo Esporte Clube |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tupi | Novo Esporte Clube |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 51.2% | 48.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Tupi or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tupi = 1.28 (league 1.57), Novo Esporte Clube = 1.11 (league 1.17)
| Novo Esporte Clube | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tupi | 0 | 9.2% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.1% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 31.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1