A-League — Australia
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 02:00 • Mount Smart Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.64) 0.36 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.4% 19.9% 6.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.4%
2 - 0
18.7%
3 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Brisbane Roar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auckland 0 11.2% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.4% 7.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.7% 6.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.4% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAucklandBrisbane Roar
Played44
Form83%58%
Attack29%29%
Defense88%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.35 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.52 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Auckland Brisbane Roar
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins100%50%75%67%0%50%
Draws0%50%25%33%0%25%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%25%

Form: Auckland: DWWW • Brisbane Roar: WLDW

League goals

Metric Auckland Brisbane Roar
HATHAT
GF total325415
GF avg1.51.01.31.31.01.3
GA total112022
GA avg0.50.50.50.02.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAucklandBrisbane Roar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%75%25%
1.550%0%25%25%
2.50%0%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAucklandBrisbane Roar
HATHAT
Clean sheets112303
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricAucklandBrisbane Roar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAucklandBrisbane Roar
Wins01
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-0—
Biggest losses———2-1
Goals For2231
Goals Against1102

Model comparison

MetricAucklandBrisbane Roar
Form59%41%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h88%13%
Goals75%25%
Total66.7%33.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Auckland or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away5.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Auckland = 1.83 (league 1.64), Brisbane Roar = 0.36 (league 1.38)

Brisbane Roar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auckland 0 11.2% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.4% 7.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.7% 6.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.4% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.4% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 6.6%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1