A-League — Australia
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 10:45 • HBF Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.58) 0.83 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.3% 35.4% 34.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.4%
0 - 1
16.9%
1 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
Adelaide United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perth Glory 0 20.4% 16.9% 7.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 12.9% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPerth GloryAdelaide United
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack38%62%
Defense77%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Perth Glory Adelaide United
HATHAT
Played538448
Wins20%67%38%75%0%38%
Draws20%0%13%0%0%0%
Loses60%33%50%25%100%63%

Form: Perth Glory: DLLLWWWL • Adelaide United: WLLWWLLL

League goals

Metric Perth Glory Adelaide United
HATHAT
GF total3478412
GF avg0.61.30.92.01.01.5
GA total65113811
GA avg1.21.71.40.82.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePerth GloryAdelaide United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%88%88%
1.538%38%38%50%
2.50%13%13%0%
3.50%13%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPerth GloryAdelaide United
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score314101

Penalties

MetricPerth GloryAdelaide United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPerth GloryAdelaide United
Wins32
Draws10
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-24-1—
Biggest losses0-24-00-12-1
Goals For2241
Goals Against2412

Model comparison

MetricPerth GloryAdelaide United
Form60%40%
Att38%62%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals52%48%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Double chance : Perth Glory or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ 188Bet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.69 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.33 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Pinnacle
No2.60 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Perth Glory = 0.76 (league 1.58), Adelaide United = 0.83 (league 1.45)

Adelaide United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perth Glory 0 20.4% 16.9% 7.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 12.9% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.3% · Draw 35.4% · Away win 34.2%

vtt 9 , vtd1