Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 15:00 • Dire Dawa Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 0.88) 0.10 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.1% 25.0% 2.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
30.9%
2 - 0
22.0%
0 - 0
21.7%
Score & goals probability table
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mebrat Hayl 0 21.7% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.9% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.0% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMebrat HaylEthiopia Nigd Bank
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack20%100%
Defense80%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mebrat Hayl Ethiopia Nigd Bank
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%14%36%43%0%21%
Draws43%57%50%43%71%57%
Loses0%29%14%14%29%21%

Form: Mebrat Hayl: WDWWDLWDDDWLDD • Ethiopia Nigd Bank: DDLWDDDLLWDWDD

League goals

Metric Mebrat Hayl Ethiopia Nigd Bank
HATHAT
GF total6289716
GF avg0.90.30.61.31.01.1
GA total14551015
GA avg0.10.60.40.71.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMebrat HaylEthiopia Nigd Bank
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%29%79%79%
1.57%7%29%21%
2.57%0%7%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMebrat HaylEthiopia Nigd Bank
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410303
Failed to score358213

Penalties

MetricMebrat HaylEthiopia Nigd Bank
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricMebrat HaylEthiopia Nigd Bank
Wins21
Draws33
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-13-1—
Biggest losses—2-01-23-1
Goals For3132
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricMebrat HaylEthiopia Nigd Bank
Form40%60%
Att13%88%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total57.5%42.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mebrat Hayl or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.98 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.60 @ Bet365
Away3.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.52 @ Superbet
No1.46 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.60 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.29 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mebrat Hayl = 1.43 (league 0.88), Ethiopia Nigd Bank = 0.10 (league 0.96)

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mebrat Hayl 0 21.7% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.9% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.0% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.1% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 2.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1