Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:45 • Carlisle Grounds
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.57) 1.66 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.2% 22.9% 37.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
UCD
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bray Wanderers 0 3.5% 5.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
1 5.9% 9.9% 8.2% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6%
2 5.0% 8.3% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.8% 4.6% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBray WanderersUCD
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack57%79%
Defense43%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bray Wanderers UCD
HATHAT
Played181937181836
Wins72%42%57%33%56%44%
Draws0%11%5%33%11%22%
Loses28%47%38%33%33%33%

Form: Bray Wanderers: WLWLLWWWWWWWLDWLWLLLWWWWWDLWLWLWLLLWW • UCD: DDLDWLLWLLWLDLWWDLWWDWWLWWDWLWWLWDWL

League goals

Metric Bray Wanderers UCD
HATHAT
GF total402464192847
GF avg2.21.31.71.11.61.3
GA total242953192241
GA avg1.31.51.41.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBray WanderersUCD
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%70%69%75%
1.546%51%42%25%
2.524%16%17%11%
3.511%3%3%3%
4.53%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBray WanderersUCD
HATHAT
Clean sheets4711369
Failed to score2247411

Penalties

MetricBray WanderersUCD
Scored (total | %)10 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total103

Streaks

MetricBray WanderersUCD
Wins72
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-43-10-3
Biggest losses1-35-00-34-0
Goals For5434
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricBray WanderersUCD
Form46%54%
Att42%58%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h60%40%
Goals54%46%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Bray Wanderers or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away2.80 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Pinnacle
No2.27 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bray Wanderers = 1.68 (league 1.57), UCD = 1.66 (league 1.25)

UCD
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bray Wanderers 0 3.5% 5.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
1 5.9% 9.9% 8.2% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6%
2 5.0% 8.3% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.8% 4.6% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.2% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 37.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1