Wed, Nov 12 2025 • 18:30 • Sportcomplex De Toekomst
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.76) 0.35 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.9% 32.5% 11.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.6%
0 - 0
22.5%
2 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Hammarby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ajax W 0 22.5% 8.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.6% 9.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.6% 5.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.5% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAjax WHammarby
Played42
Form83%67%
Attack40%33%
Defense93%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.55 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.32 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ajax W Hammarby
HATHAT
Played224112
Wins100%50%75%100%0%50%
Draws0%50%25%0%100%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Ajax W: WWDW • Hammarby: WD

League goals

Metric Ajax W Hammarby
HATHAT
GF total426415
GF avg2.01.01.54.01.02.5
GA total101112
GA avg0.50.00.31.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAjax WHammarby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%25%100%100%
1.575%0%50%0%
2.50%0%50%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAjax WHammarby
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricAjax WHammarby
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAjax WHammarby
Wins21
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-1—
Biggest losses————
Goals For2241
Goals Against1011

Model comparison

MetricAjax WHammarby
Form71%29%
Att55%45%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total66.3%33.8%

Advice: Double chance : Ajax W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away3.85 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ 188Bet
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ajax W = 1.14 (league 1.76), Hammarby = 0.35 (league 1.41)

Hammarby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ajax W 0 22.5% 8.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.6% 9.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.6% 5.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.5% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.9% · Draw 32.5% · Away win 11.5%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1