Thu, Nov 20 2025 • 18:00 • 3Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.76) 0.71 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.9% 22.1% 13.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.5%
2 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Ajax W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hammarby 0 8.0% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.5% 10.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.2% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.0% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHammarbyAjax W
Played35
Form78%67%
Attack53%47%
Defense80%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.77 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hammarby Ajax W
HATHAT
Played123325
Wins100%50%67%67%50%60%
Draws0%50%33%0%50%20%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%20%

Form: Hammarby: WDW • Ajax W: WWDWL

League goals

Metric Hammarby Ajax W
HATHAT
GF total448527
GF avg4.02.02.71.71.01.4
GA total123404
GA avg1.01.01.01.30.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHammarbyAjax W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%80%40%
1.567%0%60%20%
2.567%0%0%20%
3.533%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHammarbyAjax W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000123
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricHammarbyAjax W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHammarbyAjax W
Wins12
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-32-00-2
Biggest losses——1-3—
Goals For4322
Goals Against1130

Model comparison

MetricHammarbyAjax W
Form41%59%
Att53%47%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Hammarby or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Betano
Draw4.75 @ Bet365
Away4.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.45 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hammarby = 1.82 (league 1.76), Ajax W = 0.71 (league 1.41)

Ajax W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hammarby 0 8.0% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.5% 10.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.2% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.0% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.9% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 13.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1