Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 07:30 • Gimcheon Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.38) 1.09 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.8% 25.6% 27.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
11.2%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Daejeon Citizen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0 7.4% 8.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.2% 12.2% 6.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.5% 9.3% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGimcheon Sangmu FCDaejeon Citizen
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack88%100%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gimcheon Sangmu FC Daejeon Citizen
HATHAT
Played191837191837
Wins53%44%49%53%39%46%
Draws16%22%19%26%33%30%
Loses32%33%32%21%28%24%

Form: Gimcheon Sangmu FC: LWDWDWWLLWWLWDLLDWDWLWDWDWWLLWWWLWLLW • Daejeon Citizen: WLWWWDWLDWWWDDLWLDDDDDWLWLLWLWDWWWWLD

League goals

Metric Gimcheon Sangmu FC Daejeon Citizen
HATHAT
GF total283159262955
GF avg1.51.71.61.41.61.5
GA total162642202646
GA avg0.81.41.11.11.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGimcheon Sangmu FCDaejeon Citizen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%68%76%78%
1.546%35%51%35%
2.527%8%22%11%
3.55%3%0%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGimcheon Sangmu FCDaejeon Citizen
HATHAT
Clean sheets8412538
Failed to score549549

Penalties

MetricGimcheon Sangmu FCDaejeon Citizen
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total38

Streaks

MetricGimcheon Sangmu FCDaejeon Citizen
Wins34
Draws15
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-43-10-3
Biggest losses0-24-11-33-0
Goals For6433
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricGimcheon Sangmu FCDaejeon Citizen
Form38%63%
Att41%59%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total43.2%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Daejeon Citizen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away2.50 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ 188Bet
No2.66 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gimcheon Sangmu FC = 1.52 (league 1.38), Daejeon Citizen = 1.09 (league 1.18)

Daejeon Citizen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0 7.4% 8.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.2% 12.2% 6.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.5% 9.3% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.8% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 27.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1