Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 21:15 • Estadio Hernando Siles
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.42 (league 1.90) 0.66 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.6% 8.3% 3.9%
best score tips
3 - 0
11.2%
2 - 0
9.9%
4 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Universitario de Vinto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolívar 0 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.8% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.9% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.2% 7.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.6% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.6% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBolívarUniversitario de Vinto
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack68%26%
Defense74%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bolívar Universitario de Vinto
HATHAT
Played111122121123
Wins73%55%64%42%9%26%
Draws9%27%18%33%27%30%
Loses18%18%18%25%64%43%

Form: Bolívar: WLWWWWWDLDLDWWLWWDWWWW • Universitario de Vinto: WDLDLLWWDDLLDWLWLLWLDLD

League goals

Metric Bolívar Universitario de Vinto
HATHAT
GF total34205420828
GF avg3.11.82.51.70.71.2
GA total121224192342
GA avg1.11.11.11.62.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBolívarUniversitario de Vinto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%64%74%78%
1.564%36%30%48%
2.541%9%9%22%
3.527%0%9%13%
4.514%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBolívarUniversitario de Vinto
HATHAT
Clean sheets448325
Failed to score000156

Penalties

MetricBolívarUniversitario de Vinto
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricBolívarUniversitario de Vinto
Wins52
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-34-00-2
Biggest losses1-33-10-75-1
Goals For5442
Goals Against3375

Model comparison

MetricBolívarUniversitario de Vinto
Form72%28%
Att72%28%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h93%7%
Goals71%29%
Total76.5%23.5%

Advice: Winner : Bolívar

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.14 @ Unibet
Draw10.32 @ Pinnacle
Away15.97 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bolívar = 3.42 (league 1.90), Universitario de Vinto = 0.66 (league 1.16)

Universitario de Vinto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolívar 0 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.8% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.9% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.2% 7.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.6% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.6% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.6% · Draw 8.3% · Away win 3.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1