Iraqi League — Iraq
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 17:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.26) 2.83 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.4% 10.9% 78.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.1%
0 - 3
13.3%
0 - 1
10.0%
Erbil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newroz 0 3.5% 10.0% 14.1% 13.3% 9.4% 5.3%
1 1.8% 5.1% 7.3% 6.9% 4.9% 2.7%
2 0.5% 1.3% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2% 0.7%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewrozErbil
Played55
Form20%87%
Attack75%100%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newroz Erbil
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins33%0%20%100%50%80%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%20%
Loses67%100%80%0%0%0%

Form: Newroz: WLLLL • Erbil: WWDWW

League goals

Metric Newroz Erbil
HATHAT
GF total426639
GF avg1.31.01.22.01.51.8
GA total6713314
GA avg2.03.52.61.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewrozErbil
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%100%80%60%
1.540%100%60%20%
2.520%40%40%0%
3.50%20%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewrozErbil
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricNewrozErbil
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricNewrozErbil
Wins12
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2—3-21-3
Biggest losses0-24-0——
Goals For3233
Goals Against2421

Model comparison

MetricNewrozErbil
Form19%81%
Att40%60%
Def24%76%
Poisson Distribution16%84%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total24.8%75.3%

Advice: Winner : Erbil

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.99 @ 1xBet
Draw3.38 @ Pinnacle
Away2.45 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newroz = 0.51 (league 1.26), Erbil = 2.83 (league 1.06)

Erbil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newroz 0 3.5% 10.0% 14.1% 13.3% 9.4% 5.3%
1 1.8% 5.1% 7.3% 6.9% 4.9% 2.7%
2 0.5% 1.3% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2% 0.7%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.4% · Draw 10.9% · Away win 78.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1