Iraqi League — Iraq
Thu, Oct 30 2025 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.02 (league 1.27) 3.20 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.2% 13.6% 22.1%
best score tips
4 - 3
4.3%
3 - 3
4.3%
4 - 2
4.1%
Score & goals probability table
Al Najaf
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baghdad 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
1 0.3% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8%
2 0.6% 1.9% 3.0% 3.2% 2.6% 1.6%
3 0.8% 2.5% 4.1% 4.3% 3.5% 2.2%
4 0.8% 2.6% 4.1% 4.3% 3.5% 2.2%
5 0.6% 2.1% 3.3% 3.5% 2.8% 1.8%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaghdadAl Najaf
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack75%75%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baghdad Al Najaf
HATHAT
Played325235
Wins33%50%40%50%0%20%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses67%50%60%50%100%80%

Form: Baghdad: LLWWL • Al Najaf: LLLLW

League goals

Metric Baghdad Al Najaf
HATHAT
GF total516156
GF avg1.70.51.20.51.71.2
GA total6391910
GA avg2.01.51.80.53.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaghdadAl Najaf
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%80%80%
1.520%60%40%60%
2.520%40%0%40%
3.520%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaghdadAl Najaf
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricBaghdadAl Najaf
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBaghdadAl Najaf
Wins20
Draws00
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-11-0—
Biggest losses0-33-00-14-2
Goals For4112
Goals Against3314

Model comparison

MetricBaghdadAl Najaf
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Baghdad or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Baghdad = 4.02 (league 1.27), Al Najaf = 3.20 (league 1.06)

Al Najaf
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baghdad 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
1 0.3% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8%
2 0.6% 1.9% 3.0% 3.2% 2.6% 1.6%
3 0.8% 2.5% 4.1% 4.3% 3.5% 2.2%
4 0.8% 2.6% 4.1% 4.3% 3.5% 2.2%
5 0.6% 2.1% 3.3% 3.5% 2.8% 1.8%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.2% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 22.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1