Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 19:30 • Estadio Osvaldo Roberto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.25 (league 1.10) 0.35 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.0% 59.8% 24.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
54.9%
0 - 1
19.4%
1 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Danubio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Montevideo 0 54.9% 19.4% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 4.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRacing MontevideoDanubio
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack33%17%
Defense58%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

45%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Racing Montevideo Danubio
HATHAT
Played76136713
Wins14%33%23%50%14%31%
Draws43%33%38%17%29%23%
Loses43%33%38%33%57%46%

Form: Racing Montevideo: WWLLLLDWDLDDD • Danubio: DWLLLWWLWLDDL

League goals

Metric Racing Montevideo Danubio
HATHAT
GF total291111314
GF avg0.31.50.81.80.41.1
GA total614206612
GA avg0.92.31.51.00.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRacing MontevideoDanubio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.546%69%46%62%
1.531%46%38%23%
2.58%23%8%8%
3.50%15%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRacing MontevideoDanubio
HATHAT
Clean sheets404235
Failed to score527257

Penalties

MetricRacing MontevideoDanubio
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRacing MontevideoDanubio
Wins22
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-35-10-2
Biggest losses1-44-02-32-0
Goals For1352
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricRacing MontevideoDanubio
Form44%56%
Att67%33%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h85%15%
Goals83%17%
Total58.5%41.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Racing Montevideo or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Racing Montevideo = 0.25 (league 1.10), Danubio = 0.35 (league 1.02)

Danubio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Montevideo 0 54.9% 19.4% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 4.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.0% · Draw 59.8% · Away win 24.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1