Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 22:00 • Parque Juan Gaspar Prandi
Second Half
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.10) 2.16 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.4% 17.4% 71.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
15.1%
0 - 1
14.0%
0 - 3
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Cerro Largo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plaza Colonia 0 6.5% 14.0% 15.1% 10.9% 5.9% 2.6%
1 3.7% 8.0% 8.7% 6.3% 3.4% 1.5%
2 1.1% 2.3% 2.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPlaza ColoniaCerro Largo
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack44%78%
Defense67%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Plaza Colonia Cerro Largo
HATHAT
Played76136713
Wins0%33%15%33%43%38%
Draws14%17%15%33%29%31%
Loses86%50%69%33%29%31%

Form: Plaza Colonia: LDLLLLLLDWLLW • Cerro Largo: WWWDLWWLLLDDD

League goals

Metric Plaza Colonia Cerro Largo
HATHAT
GF total5497815
GF avg0.70.70.71.21.11.2
GA total148228614
GA avg2.01.31.71.30.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePlaza ColoniaCerro Largo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%77%85%69%
1.515%38%31%31%
2.50%23%0%8%
3.50%15%0%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPlaza ColoniaCerro Largo
HATHAT
Clean sheets033224
Failed to score336112

Penalties

MetricPlaza ColoniaCerro Largo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPlaza ColoniaCerro Largo
Wins13
Draws11
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-21-00-2
Biggest losses2-46-11-32-1
Goals For2222
Goals Against4632

Model comparison

MetricPlaza ColoniaCerro Largo
Form70%30%
Att36%64%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : Plaza Colonia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ 188Bet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Plaza Colonia = 0.57 (league 1.10), Cerro Largo = 2.16 (league 1.02)

Cerro Largo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plaza Colonia 0 6.5% 14.0% 15.1% 10.9% 5.9% 2.6%
1 3.7% 8.0% 8.7% 6.3% 3.4% 1.5%
2 1.1% 2.3% 2.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.4% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 71.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1