First League — Russia
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Shinnik
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.23) 0.86 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.3% 33.4% 32.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.4%
1 - 0
15.5%
0 - 1
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Chelyabinsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 17.4% 14.9% 6.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 13.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.0% 6.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShinnik YaroslavlChelyabinsk
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack50%60%
Defense40%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shinnik Yaroslavl Chelyabinsk
HATHAT
Played88168715
Wins38%13%25%63%14%40%
Draws25%63%44%38%57%47%
Loses38%25%31%0%29%13%

Form: Shinnik Yaroslavl: LDLLWDWDWDDWLLDD • Chelyabinsk: WWLWLWDDWDWDDDD

League goals

Metric Shinnik Yaroslavl Chelyabinsk
HATHAT
GF total841213720
GF avg1.00.50.81.61.01.3
GA total76134812
GA avg0.90.80.80.51.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShinnik YaroslavlChelyabinsk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%56%80%53%
1.525%19%27%27%
2.50%6%20%0%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShinnik YaroslavlChelyabinsk
HATHAT
Clean sheets347527
Failed to score358123

Penalties

MetricShinnik YaroslavlChelyabinsk
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricShinnik YaroslavlChelyabinsk
Wins12
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-02-3
Biggest losses0-23-1—2-1
Goals For2243
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricShinnik YaroslavlChelyabinsk
Form42%58%
Att45%55%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total40.8%59.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Chelyabinsk and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ 1xBet
Draw2.96 @ 1xBet
Away3.42 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.39 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ Marathonbet
No1.55 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shinnik Yaroslavl = 0.90 (league 1.23), Chelyabinsk = 0.86 (league 1.05)

Chelyabinsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 17.4% 14.9% 6.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 13.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.0% 6.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.3% · Draw 33.4% · Away win 32.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1