First League — Russia
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Urozhay
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.26) 1.05 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.0% 28.5% 31.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
12.6%
0 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Chernomorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Kostroma 0 10.3% 10.8% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.2% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.7% 8.1% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak KostromaChernomorets
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack57%86%
Defense29%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Kostroma Chernomorets
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins29%67%50%38%13%25%
Draws57%22%38%25%38%31%
Loses14%11%13%38%50%44%

Form: Spartak Kostroma: LWDWWWWDWWWDDDLD • Chernomorets: DLLDLLLDWWLWWLDD

League goals

Metric Spartak Kostroma Chernomorets
HATHAT
GF total8162410919
GF avg1.11.81.51.31.11.2
GA total791691120
GA avg1.01.01.01.11.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak KostromaChernomorets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%88%63%88%
1.550%13%25%31%
2.513%0%19%6%
3.56%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak KostromaChernomorets
HATHAT
Clean sheets022202
Failed to score123336

Penalties

MetricSpartak KostromaChernomorets
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSpartak KostromaChernomorets
Wins42
Draws31
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-44-11-4
Biggest losses0-11-00-22-0
Goals For2444
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricSpartak KostromaChernomorets
Form33%67%
Att40%60%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chernomorets

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.09 @ 188Bet
Draw3.22 @ 1xBet
Away5.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.36 @ Pinnacle
No1.59 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Kostroma = 1.22 (league 1.26), Chernomorets = 1.05 (league 1.05)

Chernomorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Kostroma 0 10.3% 10.8% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.2% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.7% 8.1% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.0% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 31.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1