First League — Russia
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 13:00 • Trud Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.25) 2.26 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.9% 20.0% 53.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 1
8.0%
1 - 3
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Rodina Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Volga Ulyanovsk 0 2.5% 5.5% 6.2% 4.7% 2.6% 1.2%
1 3.6% 8.0% 9.1% 6.8% 3.8% 1.7%
2 2.6% 5.8% 6.6% 4.9% 2.8% 1.3%
3 1.2% 2.8% 3.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVolga UlyanovskRodina Moskva
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack67%67%
Defense11%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Volga Ulyanovsk Rodina Moskva
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins38%13%25%56%29%44%
Draws13%25%19%33%43%38%
Loses50%63%56%11%29%19%

Form: Volga Ulyanovsk: LLDLWLWDLWLDLLWL • Rodina Moskva: DLLDDDWWWWLWDWWD

League goals

Metric Volga Ulyanovsk Rodina Moskva
HATHAT
GF total1161714923
GF avg1.40.81.11.61.31.4
GA total1414285914
GA avg1.81.81.80.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVolga UlyanovskRodina Moskva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%75%50%
1.525%50%44%19%
2.56%19%13%13%
3.50%19%6%6%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVolga UlyanovskRodina Moskva
HATHAT
Clean sheets202628
Failed to score044134

Penalties

MetricVolga UlyanovskRodina Moskva
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricVolga UlyanovskRodina Moskva
Wins14
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-33-01-5
Biggest losses1-44-01-34-0
Goals For2335
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricVolga UlyanovskRodina Moskva
Form27%73%
Att50%50%
Def11%89%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h0%100%
Goals22%78%
Total29.6%70.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rodina Moskva

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.38 @ 1xBet
Away2.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Volga Ulyanovsk = 1.45 (league 1.25), Rodina Moskva = 2.26 (league 1.04)

Rodina Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Volga Ulyanovsk 0 2.5% 5.5% 6.2% 4.7% 2.6% 1.2%
1 3.6% 8.0% 9.1% 6.8% 3.8% 1.7%
2 2.6% 5.8% 6.6% 4.9% 2.8% 1.3%
3 1.2% 2.8% 3.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.9% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 53.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1