First League — Russia
Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 15:30 • Fakel Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.25) 0.05 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.9% 21.5% 1.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
31.1%
2 - 0
24.3%
0 - 0
19.9%
Score & goals probability table
Torpedo Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fakel 0 19.9% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.1% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 24.3% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFakelTorpedo Moskva
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack70%70%
Defense80%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fakel Torpedo Moskva
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins86%44%63%25%13%19%
Draws14%22%19%25%38%31%
Loses0%33%19%50%50%50%

Form: Fakel: WWWWWWLDWLDDWWWL • Torpedo Moskva: LDLLWLLDDLLWLDDW

League goals

Metric Fakel Torpedo Moskva
HATHAT
GF total107179413
GF avg1.40.81.11.10.50.8
GA total189131124
GA avg0.10.90.61.61.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFakelTorpedo Moskva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%44%50%69%
1.519%13%25%44%
2.56%0%6%31%
3.56%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFakelTorpedo Moskva
HATHAT
Clean sheets639325
Failed to score134358

Penalties

MetricFakelTorpedo Moskva
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFakelTorpedo Moskva
Wins61
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-20-1
Biggest losses—2-01-43-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against1243

Model comparison

MetricFakelTorpedo Moskva
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution96%4%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total62.8%37.2%

Advice: Double chance : Fakel or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Superbet
Draw3.24 @ Pinnacle
Away4.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ Pinnacle
No1.62 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fakel = 1.56 (league 1.25), Torpedo Moskva = 0.05 (league 1.04)

Torpedo Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fakel 0 19.9% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.1% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 24.3% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.9% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 1.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1