Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 14:00 • Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.72) 0.05 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.6% 54.7% 2.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
53.1%
1 - 0
30.9%
2 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Arouca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fafe 0 53.1% 2.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.9% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFafeArouca
Played21
Form100%100%
Attack13%13%
Defense100%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 12 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 01 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fafe Arouca
HATHAT
Played112011
Wins100%100%100%—100%100%
Draws0%0%0%—0%0%
Loses0%0%0%—0%0%

Form: Fafe: WW • Arouca: W

League goals

Metric Fafe Arouca
HATHAT
GF total112022
GF avg1.01.01.00.02.02.0
GA total000011
GA avg0.00.00.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFafeArouca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.50%0%100%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFafeArouca
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFafeArouca
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFafeArouca
Wins21
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-1—1-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For1102
Goals Against0001

Model comparison

MetricFafeArouca
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Fafe or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.65 @ 188Bet
Draw4.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.18 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fafe = 0.58 (league 1.72), Arouca = 0.05 (league 1.48)

Arouca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fafe 0 53.1% 2.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.9% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.6% · Draw 54.7% · Away win 2.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1