First League — Russia
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion Arsenal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.26) 1.68 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.6% 20.7% 29.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.4%
1 - 1
7.8%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Chayka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 2.2% 3.6% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.7% 7.8% 6.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.0% 8.4% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.0% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.9% 3.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenal TulaChayka
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack80%50%
Defense20%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Tula Chayka
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins13%33%24%0%22%12%
Draws63%33%47%25%33%29%
Loses25%33%29%75%44%59%

Form: Arsenal Tula: DDWDDWLWLLDLDDDLW • Chayka: WDDDLLLLLLLDDWLLL

League goals

Metric Arsenal Tula Chayka
HATHAT
GF total13122541014
GF avg1.61.31.50.51.10.8
GA total131023191534
GA avg1.61.11.42.41.72.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenal TulaChayka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%94%47%76%
1.547%41%24%53%
2.512%0%12%35%
3.50%0%0%24%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenal TulaChayka
HATHAT
Clean sheets011134
Failed to score022549

Penalties

MetricArsenal TulaChayka
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricArsenal TulaChayka
Wins11
Draws33
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-3—0-3
Biggest losses1-22-10-64-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against2264

Model comparison

MetricArsenal TulaChayka
Form60%40%
Att62%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Double chance : Arsenal Tula or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ 1xBet
Draw4.42 @ Pinnacle
Away8.15 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ SBO
Under 2.51.80 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ 188Bet
No1.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arsenal Tula = 2.15 (league 1.26), Chayka = 1.68 (league 1.05)

Chayka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 2.2% 3.6% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.7% 7.8% 6.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.0% 8.4% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.0% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.9% 3.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.6% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 29.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1