First League — Russia
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 13:00 • Arena Khimki
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.26) 0.92 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.6% 27.3% 24.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
FK Neftekhimik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodina Moskva 0 9.9% 9.1% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.8% 12.7% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 8.8% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRodina MoskvaFK Neftekhimik
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack75%75%
Defense75%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rodina Moskva FK Neftekhimik
HATHAT
Played981710717
Wins56%38%47%20%29%24%
Draws33%38%35%50%43%47%
Loses11%25%18%30%29%29%

Form: Rodina Moskva: DLLDDDWWWWLWDWWDW • FK Neftekhimik: DDDWLLDLDWWWDLDLD

League goals

Metric Rodina Moskva FK Neftekhimik
HATHAT
GF total14112581119
GF avg1.61.41.50.81.61.1
GA total5101513821
GA avg0.61.30.91.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRodina MoskvaFK Neftekhimik
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%53%76%65%
1.547%18%24%24%
2.512%12%6%24%
3.56%6%6%6%
4.56%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRodina MoskvaFK Neftekhimik
HATHAT
Clean sheets628516
Failed to score134314

Penalties

MetricRodina MoskvaFK Neftekhimik
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricRodina MoskvaFK Neftekhimik
Wins43
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-51-01-4
Biggest losses1-34-01-53-2
Goals For3524
Goals Against3453

Model comparison

MetricRodina MoskvaFK Neftekhimik
Form79%21%
Att50%50%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h60%40%
Goals65%35%
Total65.8%34.2%

Advice: Double chance : Rodina Moskva or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ 1xBet
Draw3.79 @ 1xBet
Away5.65 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Superbet
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rodina Moskva = 1.39 (league 1.26), FK Neftekhimik = 0.92 (league 1.05)

FK Neftekhimik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodina Moskva 0 9.9% 9.1% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.8% 12.7% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 8.8% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.6% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 24.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1