First League — Russia
Mon, Nov 10 2025 • 16:30 • Fakel Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.26) 0.17 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.3% 31.2% 5.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
30.5%
0 - 0
25.7%
2 - 0
18.1%
Score & goals probability table
Spartak Kostroma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fakel 0 25.7% 4.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.5% 5.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.1% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFakelSpartak Kostroma
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack82%55%
Defense82%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fakel Spartak Kostroma
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins88%44%65%38%67%53%
Draws13%22%18%50%22%35%
Loses0%33%18%13%11%12%

Form: Fakel: WWWWWWLDWLDDWWWLW • Spartak Kostroma: LWDWWWWDWWWDDDLDW

League goals

Metric Fakel Spartak Kostroma
HATHAT
GF total12719111627
GF avg1.50.81.11.41.81.6
GA total1898917
GA avg0.10.90.51.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFakelSpartak Kostroma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%41%82%88%
1.524%12%53%12%
2.56%0%18%0%
3.56%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFakelSpartak Kostroma
HATHAT
Clean sheets7310022
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricFakelSpartak Kostroma
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricFakelSpartak Kostroma
Wins64
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-12-4
Biggest losses—2-00-11-0
Goals For4234
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricFakelSpartak Kostroma
Form67%33%
Att60%40%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total70.5%29.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Fakel or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.11 @ Pinnacle
Away3.95 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.41 @ 188Bet
No1.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fakel = 1.19 (league 1.26), Spartak Kostroma = 0.17 (league 1.05)

Spartak Kostroma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fakel 0 25.7% 4.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.5% 5.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.1% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.3% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 5.3%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1