Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 00:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.71 (league 1.94) 1.76 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.2% 17.8% 23.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.4%
3 - 1
6.7%
2 - 2
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Independiente Petrolero
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nacional Potosí 0 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
1 3.1% 5.5% 4.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
2 4.2% 7.4% 6.5% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.8% 6.7% 5.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.6% 4.5% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
5 1.4% 2.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack45%41%
Defense68%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nacional Potosí Independiente Petrolero
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins42%23%32%50%31%40%
Draws8%46%28%33%15%24%
Loses50%31%40%17%54%36%

Form: Nacional Potosí: LLWDLWDLDDDLWWLLWLLWDLWWD • Independiente Petrolero: WLDLDLWDLDDLDLWLWWWWLWLWW

League goals

Metric Nacional Potosí Independiente Petrolero
HATHAT
GF total251742232043
GF avg2.11.31.71.91.51.7
GA total171734153348
GA avg1.41.31.41.32.51.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%84%84%84%
1.552%44%48%56%
2.524%8%24%32%
3.512%0%12%16%
4.58%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
HATHAT
Clean sheets224314
Failed to score257224

Penalties

MetricNacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricNacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
Wins24
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-55-23-4
Biggest losses0-22-02-45-0
Goals For5554
Goals Against3245

Model comparison

MetricNacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
Form47%53%
Att53%47%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Double chance : Nacional Potosí or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Betano
Draw4.75 @ Unibet
Away6.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Unibet
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nacional Potosí = 2.71 (league 1.94), Independiente Petrolero = 1.76 (league 1.19)

Independiente Petrolero
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nacional Potosí 0 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
1 3.1% 5.5% 4.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
2 4.2% 7.4% 6.5% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.8% 6.7% 5.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.6% 4.5% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
5 1.4% 2.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.2% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 23.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1