Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 19:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 2.03) 1.80 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.9% 23.2% 50.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Bolívar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Petrolero 0 5.1% 9.1% 8.2% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
1 6.0% 10.8% 9.7% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.6% 6.4% 5.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.6%
3 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependiente PetroleroBolívar
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack34%62%
Defense72%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 218 | 3.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente Petrolero Bolívar
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins54%29%41%79%54%67%
Draws31%14%22%7%31%19%
Loses15%57%37%14%15%15%

Form: Independiente Petrolero: WLDLDLWDLDDLDLWLWWWWLWLWWLW • Bolívar: WLWWWWWDLDLDWWLWWDWWWWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Independiente Petrolero Bolívar
HATHAT
GF total262147482472
GF avg2.01.51.73.41.82.7
GA total163551151530
GA avg1.22.51.91.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependiente PetroleroBolívar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%100%67%
1.548%56%67%37%
2.526%30%48%7%
3.511%15%30%0%
4.54%4%19%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependiente PetroleroBolívar
HATHAT
Clean sheets314549
Failed to score224000

Penalties

MetricIndependiente PetroleroBolívar
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricIndependiente PetroleroBolívar
Wins46
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-23-46-10-3
Biggest losses2-45-01-33-1
Goals For5464
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricIndependiente PetroleroBolívar
Form41%59%
Att36%64%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h20%80%
Goals19%81%
Total33.0%67.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bolívar

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.62 @ 1xBet
Draw5.57 @ Pinnacle
Away1.44 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.54.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ 188Bet
No3.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente Petrolero = 1.18 (league 2.03), Bolívar = 1.80 (league 1.20)

Bolívar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Petrolero 0 5.1% 9.1% 8.2% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
1 6.0% 10.8% 9.7% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.6% 6.4% 5.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.6%
3 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 50.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1