Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 18:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.05) 1.62 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.2% 24.5% 46.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
0 - 1
9.6%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Tacuarembo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Uruguay Montevideo 0 5.9% 9.6% 7.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
1 7.1% 11.6% 9.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.3% 7.0% 5.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.7% 2.8% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack44%78%
Defense22%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Uruguay Montevideo Tacuarembo
HATHAT
Played151631171532
Wins27%19%23%65%20%44%
Draws13%13%13%35%33%34%
Loses60%69%65%0%47%22%

Form: Uruguay Montevideo: LLWWWLWLWLLDDLLDLLLLLLLWLLLLLDW • Tacuarembo: DWDWWWWLWLWWWWDWDDLWDLDDDLDDLWLW

League goals

Metric Uruguay Montevideo Tacuarembo
HATHAT
GF total131124231336
GF avg0.90.70.81.40.91.1
GA total26245072128
GA avg1.71.51.60.41.40.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%87%78%59%
1.516%39%31%19%
2.510%23%3%6%
3.50%10%0%3%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
HATHAT
Clean sheets31411213
Failed to score6915257

Penalties

MetricUruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
Scored (total | %)2 | 66.67%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 33.33%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricUruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
Wins34
Draws23
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-11-2
Biggest losses0-45-1—4-2
Goals For3332
Goals Against4524

Model comparison

MetricUruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
Form36%64%
Att36%64%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total42.2%57.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tacuarembo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ Superbet
Draw3.42 @ Pinnacle
Away2.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.43 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Unibet
No1.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Uruguay Montevideo = 1.20 (league 1.05), Tacuarembo = 1.62 (league 0.94)

Tacuarembo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Uruguay Montevideo 0 5.9% 9.6% 7.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
1 7.1% 11.6% 9.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.3% 7.0% 5.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.7% 2.8% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.2% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 46.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1