Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 21:30 • SeatGeek Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.16) 1.75 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.9% 22.6% 39.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.6%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Philadelphia Union
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chicago Fire 0 3.3% 5.8% 5.1% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.5% 9.6% 8.4% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 7.9% 7.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.5% 4.4% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChicago FirePhiladelphia Union
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chicago Fire Philadelphia Union
HATHAT
Played181836181735
Wins39%50%44%72%47%60%
Draws33%11%22%22%12%17%
Loses28%39%33%6%41%23%

Form: Chicago Fire: LDWWWDLDLLDWWLWWLLWLLDWWDWLWLWWWDDWL • Philadelphia Union: WWWLWLDLWWWDWWDWDWWLLWWDWDLWWLWWWLW

League goals

Metric Chicago Fire Philadelphia Union
HATHAT
GF total284573392160
GF avg1.62.52.02.21.21.7
GA total263864172037
GA avg1.42.11.80.91.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChicago FirePhiladelphia Union
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%83%77%60%
1.567%56%49%26%
2.531%22%29%9%
3.58%8%11%3%
4.56%3%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChicago FirePhiladelphia Union
HATHAT
Clean sheets4268614
Failed to score415178

Penalties

MetricChicago FirePhiladelphia Union
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricChicago FirePhiladelphia Union
Wins33
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-74-00-6
Biggest losses1-37-21-37-0
Goals For3746
Goals Against3737

Model comparison

MetricChicago FirePhiladelphia Union
Form40%60%
Att56%44%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Philadelphia Union

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away3.23 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.58 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chicago Fire = 1.65 (league 1.16), Philadelphia Union = 1.75 (league 0.96)

Philadelphia Union
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chicago Fire 0 3.3% 5.8% 5.1% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.5% 9.6% 8.4% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 7.9% 7.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.5% 4.4% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.9% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 39.9%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1