Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:00 • Imam Khomeini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.11) 0.35 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.8% 47.8% 18.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
39.4%
1 - 0
22.8%
0 - 1
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Fajr Sepasi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aluminium Arak 0 39.4% 13.9% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.8% 8.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.6% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAluminium ArakFajr Sepasi
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack30%50%
Defense60%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aluminium Arak Fajr Sepasi
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins50%33%40%40%20%30%
Draws25%0%10%20%80%50%
Loses25%67%50%40%0%20%

Form: Aluminium Arak: LLLWWWWDLL • Fajr Sepasi: DWDWDLWLDD

League goals

Metric Aluminium Arak Fajr Sepasi
HATHAT
GF total347459
GF avg0.80.70.70.81.00.9
GA total19106410
GA avg0.31.51.01.20.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAluminium ArakFajr Sepasi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%50%80%60%
1.510%20%10%30%
2.50%20%0%10%
3.50%10%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAluminium ArakFajr Sepasi
HATHAT
Clean sheets325224
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricAluminium ArakFajr Sepasi
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAluminium ArakFajr Sepasi
Wins41
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-11-00-1
Biggest losses0-14-10-3—
Goals For2112
Goals Against1432

Model comparison

MetricAluminium ArakFajr Sepasi
Form58%42%
Att38%63%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h93%7%
Goals80%20%
Total67.3%32.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Aluminium Arak or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ William Hill
Draw2.70 @ Bet365
Away3.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.80 @ 188Bet
No1.53 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.31 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aluminium Arak = 0.58 (league 1.11), Fajr Sepasi = 0.35 (league 0.85)

Fajr Sepasi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aluminium Arak 0 39.4% 13.9% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.8% 8.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.6% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 47.8% · Away win 18.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1