Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 12:45 • Azadi Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.13) 1.03 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.7% 24.7% 23.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Foolad FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esteghlal FC 0 7.0% 7.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.4% 11.8% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEsteghlal FCFoolad FC
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack75%25%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Esteghlal FC Foolad FC
HATHAT
Played4595510
Wins50%40%44%40%0%20%
Draws50%40%44%20%80%50%
Loses0%20%11%40%20%30%

Form: Esteghlal FC: WDLDDDWWW • Foolad FC: LLDWDDDLDW

League goals

Metric Esteghlal FC Foolad FC
HATHAT
GF total9615235
GF avg2.31.21.70.40.60.5
GA total639246
GA avg1.50.61.00.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEsteghlal FCFoolad FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%50%60%
1.544%22%0%0%
2.533%11%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEsteghlal FCFoolad FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score011325

Penalties

MetricEsteghlal FCFoolad FC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricEsteghlal FCFoolad FC
Wins11
Draws33
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-31-0—
Biggest losses—1-00-11-0
Goals For3311
Goals Against3111

Model comparison

MetricEsteghlal FCFoolad FC
Form65%35%
Att75%25%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h71%29%
Goals83%17%
Total67.8%32.2%

Advice: Double chance : Esteghlal FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ 188Bet
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away4.90 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ William Hill
No1.51 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.97 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.43 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Esteghlal FC = 1.63 (league 1.13), Foolad FC = 1.03 (league 0.88)

Foolad FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esteghlal FC 0 7.0% 7.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.4% 11.8% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.7% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 23.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1