Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 12:00 • Azadi Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.06) 0.74 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.4% 37.2% 31.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.9%
0 - 1
16.9%
1 - 0
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
Esteghlal FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persepolis FC 0 22.9% 16.9% 6.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.9% 12.4% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPersepolis FCEsteghlal FC
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Persepolis FC Esteghlal FC
HATHAT
Played65115510
Wins33%40%36%60%40%50%
Draws67%40%55%40%40%40%
Loses0%20%9%0%20%10%

Form: Persepolis FC: DWDDDDLWDWW • Esteghlal FC: WDLDDDWWWW

League goals

Metric Persepolis FC Esteghlal FC
HATHAT
GF total851310616
GF avg1.31.01.22.01.21.6
GA total347639
GA avg0.50.80.61.20.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePersepolis FCEsteghlal FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%55%90%60%
1.527%9%40%20%
2.59%0%30%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPersepolis FCEsteghlal FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets325224
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricPersepolis FCEsteghlal FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricPersepolis FCEsteghlal FC
Wins11
Draws43
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-10-3
Biggest losses—2-1—1-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against1231

Model comparison

MetricPersepolis FCEsteghlal FC
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Persepolis FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.75 @ Bet365
Away4.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.38 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ William Hill
No1.62 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Persepolis FC = 0.74 (league 1.06), Esteghlal FC = 0.74 (league 0.81)

Esteghlal FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persepolis FC 0 22.9% 16.9% 6.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.9% 12.4% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.4% · Draw 37.2% · Away win 31.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1