Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 13:30 •
Sirous Ghayeghran Stadium
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.13)
0.46 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.3% | 33.9% | 15.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.2%
0 - 0
21.9%
2 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Mes Rafsanjan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Malavan | 0 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.2% | 10.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Malavan | Mes Rafsanjan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 13% |
| Attack | 27% | 27% |
| Defense | 82% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
47%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
48%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Malavan | Mes Rafsanjan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 20% | 30% | 20% | 0% | 9% |
| Draws | 40% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 36% |
| Loses | 20% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 67% | 55% |
Form: Malavan: DWDLDWWDDL • Mes Rafsanjan: LDLDLWLDLDL
League goals
| Metric | Malavan | Mes Rafsanjan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Malavan | Mes Rafsanjan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 40% | 36% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 10% | 10% | 27% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Malavan | Mes Rafsanjan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Malavan | Mes Rafsanjan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Malavan | Mes Rafsanjan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Malavan | Mes Rafsanjan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 64.3% | 35.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Malavan or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Malavan = 1.06 (league 1.13), Mes Rafsanjan = 0.46 (league 0.88)
| Mes Rafsanjan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Malavan | 0 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.2% | 10.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.3% · Draw 33.9% · Away win 15.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1