Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 13:45 • Azadi Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.06) 0.29 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.6% 56.9% 18.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
51.1%
1 - 0
19.3%
0 - 1
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Malavan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esteghlal FC 0 51.1% 15.1% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.3% 5.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEsteghlal FCMalavan
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack100%67%
Defense83%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Esteghlal FC Malavan
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%33%45%50%20%36%
Draws40%50%45%33%60%45%
Loses0%17%9%17%20%18%

Form: Esteghlal FC: WDLDDDWWWWD • Malavan: DWDLDWWDDLW

League goals

Metric Esteghlal FC Malavan
HATHAT
GF total10616617
GF avg2.01.01.51.00.20.6
GA total639516
GA avg1.20.50.80.80.20.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEsteghlal FCMalavan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%55%45%45%
1.536%18%18%9%
2.527%9%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEsteghlal FCMalavan
HATHAT
Clean sheets235246
Failed to score022246

Penalties

MetricEsteghlal FCMalavan
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricEsteghlal FCMalavan
Wins42
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-10-1
Biggest losses—1-00-21-0
Goals For3321
Goals Against3121

Model comparison

MetricEsteghlal FCMalavan
Form62%38%
Att67%33%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h75%25%
Goals63%38%
Total67.0%33.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Esteghlal FC or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away4.90 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.10 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.38 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.48 @ 188Bet
No1.53 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Esteghlal FC = 0.38 (league 1.06), Malavan = 0.29 (league 0.81)

Malavan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esteghlal FC 0 51.1% 15.1% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.3% 5.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.6% · Draw 56.9% · Away win 18.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1