First League — Russia
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 12:00 • Centralnyy
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.26) 1.05 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.1% 22.6% 21.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Volga Ulyanovsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chernomorets 0 5.5% 5.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.2% 10.7% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChernomoretsVolga Ulyanovsk
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack13%53%
Defense53%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chernomorets Volga Ulyanovsk
HATHAT
Played810189918
Wins38%10%22%33%22%28%
Draws25%30%28%11%22%17%
Loses38%60%50%56%56%56%

Form: Chernomorets: DLLDLLLDWWLWWLDDLL • Volga Ulyanovsk: LLDLWLWDLWLDLLWLLW

League goals

Metric Chernomorets Volga Ulyanovsk
HATHAT
GF total10102012921
GF avg1.31.01.11.31.01.2
GA total91524161632
GA avg1.11.51.31.81.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChernomoretsVolga Ulyanovsk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%89%78%89%
1.522%33%28%56%
2.517%11%11%17%
3.511%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChernomoretsVolga Ulyanovsk
HATHAT
Clean sheets202202
Failed to score347044

Penalties

MetricChernomoretsVolga Ulyanovsk
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricChernomoretsVolga Ulyanovsk
Wins21
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-42-02-3
Biggest losses0-23-11-44-0
Goals For4423
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricChernomoretsVolga Ulyanovsk
Form25%75%
Att20%80%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h80%20%
Goals56%44%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : Chernomorets or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ 1xBet
Draw3.17 @ 1xBet
Away3.20 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chernomorets = 1.86 (league 1.26), Volga Ulyanovsk = 1.05 (league 1.05)

Volga Ulyanovsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chernomorets 0 5.5% 5.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.2% 10.7% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.1% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 21.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1