First League — Russia
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:00 • Neftekhimik Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.26) 1.74 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.5% 23.0% 61.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.2%
0 - 2
13.2%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Ural
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Neftekhimik 0 8.8% 15.2% 13.2% 7.7% 3.3% 1.2%
1 6.1% 10.6% 9.2% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 2.1% 3.7% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFK NeftekhimikUral
Played55
Form20%100%
Attack50%57%
Defense36%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FK Neftekhimik Ural
HATHAT
Played108189918
Wins20%25%22%67%67%67%
Draws50%50%50%22%11%17%
Loses30%25%28%11%22%17%

Form: FK Neftekhimik: DDDWLLDLDWWWDLDLDD • Ural: WWWWLWWDDWDLLWWWWW

League goals

Metric FK Neftekhimik Ural
HATHAT
GF total81220161329
GF avg0.81.51.11.81.41.6
GA total1392261016
GA avg1.31.11.20.71.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFK NeftekhimikUral
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%89%50%
1.522%22%50%22%
2.56%22%17%6%
3.56%6%6%6%
4.50%6%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFK NeftekhimikUral
HATHAT
Clean sheets516549
Failed to score314112

Penalties

MetricFK NeftekhimikUral
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFK NeftekhimikUral
Wins34
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-44-00-2
Biggest losses1-53-21-25-1
Goals For2443
Goals Against5325

Model comparison

MetricFK NeftekhimikUral
Form17%83%
Att47%53%
Def10%90%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total29.0%71.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ural

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.32 @ 1xBet
Away2.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.59 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ 188Bet
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FK Neftekhimik = 0.70 (league 1.26), Ural = 1.74 (league 1.05)

Ural
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Neftekhimik 0 8.8% 15.2% 13.2% 7.7% 3.3% 1.2%
1 6.1% 10.6% 9.2% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 2.1% 3.7% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.5% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 61.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1