First League — Russia
Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 12:00 • Central Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.26) 0.74 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.8% 28.2% 20.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.6%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
KAMAZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelyabinsk 0 12.4% 9.2% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.6% 12.4% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 8.3% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 3.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelyabinskKAMAZ
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack40%100%
Defense50%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelyabinsk KAMAZ
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins67%11%39%44%44%44%
Draws33%44%39%22%33%28%
Loses0%44%22%33%22%28%

Form: Chelyabinsk: WWLWLWDDWDWDDDDLLW • KAMAZ: DWWLWWDWDLDLWDLWWL

League goals

Metric Chelyabinsk KAMAZ
HATHAT
GF total15722201232
GF avg1.70.81.22.21.31.8
GA total5101511920
GA avg0.61.10.81.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelyabinskKAMAZ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%61%83%78%
1.528%22%50%22%
2.517%0%22%11%
3.56%0%11%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelyabinskKAMAZ
HATHAT
Clean sheets527224
Failed to score145123

Penalties

MetricChelyabinskKAMAZ
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricChelyabinskKAMAZ
Wins22
Draws41
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-35-01-3
Biggest losses—2-12-33-0
Goals For4353
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricChelyabinskKAMAZ
Form42%58%
Att27%73%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h7%93%
Goals23%77%
Total36.3%63.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or KAMAZ

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ 1xBet
Away3.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Pinnacle
No1.69 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelyabinsk = 1.34 (league 1.26), KAMAZ = 0.74 (league 1.05)

KAMAZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelyabinsk 0 12.4% 9.2% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.6% 12.4% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 8.3% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 3.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.8% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 20.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1