First League — Russia
Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 14:30 • Stadion Shinnik
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.26) 0.76 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.3% 29.2% 22.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.7%
0 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Chayka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 13.1% 10.0% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.7% 12.7% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.6% 8.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShinnik YaroslavlChayka
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack33%56%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shinnik Yaroslavl Chayka
HATHAT
Played991881018
Wins44%11%28%0%20%11%
Draws22%56%39%25%30%28%
Loses33%33%33%75%50%61%

Form: Shinnik Yaroslavl: LDLLWDWDWDDWLLDDWL • Chayka: WDDDLLLLLLLDDWLLLL

League goals

Metric Shinnik Yaroslavl Chayka
HATHAT
GF total941341014
GF avg1.00.40.70.51.00.8
GA total7916191635
GA avg0.81.00.92.41.61.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShinnik YaroslavlChayka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%56%44%78%
1.522%22%22%50%
2.50%11%11%33%
3.50%0%0%22%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShinnik YaroslavlChayka
HATHAT
Clean sheets448134
Failed to score3695510

Penalties

MetricShinnik YaroslavlChayka
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricShinnik YaroslavlChayka
Wins11
Draws23
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-2—0-3
Biggest losses0-23-00-64-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against2364

Model comparison

MetricShinnik YaroslavlChayka
Form63%38%
Att38%63%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals38%62%
Total51.7%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away5.70 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.72 @ 188Bet
No1.58 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shinnik Yaroslavl = 1.27 (league 1.26), Chayka = 0.76 (league 1.05)

Chayka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 13.1% 10.0% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.7% 12.7% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.6% 8.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.3% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 22.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1