First League — Russia
Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 10:00 • Stadion Lokomotiv
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.26) 0.61 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.5% 42.4% 30.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.7%
0 - 1
18.8%
1 - 0
17.5%
Score & goals probability table
Fakel
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Sokol Saratov 0 30.7% 18.8% 5.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 10.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFK Sokol SaratovFakel
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack31%77%
Defense62%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FK Sokol Saratov Fakel
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins22%0%11%89%44%67%
Draws67%33%50%11%22%17%
Loses11%67%39%0%33%17%

Form: FK Sokol Saratov: DDLDDLLLLDWLDDDWLD • Fakel: WWWWWWLDWLDDWWWLWW

League goals

Metric FK Sokol Saratov Fakel
HATHAT
GF total731015722
GF avg0.80.30.61.70.81.2
GA total712193811
GA avg0.81.31.10.30.90.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFK Sokol SaratovFakel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%67%78%44%
1.56%33%28%17%
2.50%6%11%0%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFK Sokol SaratovFakel
HATHAT
Clean sheets4267310
Failed to score369134

Penalties

MetricFK Sokol SaratovFakel
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFK Sokol SaratovFakel
Wins16
Draws32
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—4-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-1—2-0
Goals For2142
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricFK Sokol SaratovFakel
Form33%67%
Att29%71%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h67%33%
Goals57%43%
Total45.2%55.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fakel and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.11 @ 1xBet
Away2.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.10 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.36 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.64 @ 188Bet
No1.51 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FK Sokol Saratov = 0.57 (league 1.26), Fakel = 0.61 (league 1.05)

Fakel
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Sokol Saratov 0 30.7% 18.8% 5.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 10.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.5% · Draw 42.4% · Away win 30.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1