Wed, Nov 19 2025 • 13:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.51) 3.88 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.4% 13.4% 47.0%
best score tips
2 - 3
5.3%
2 - 4
5.2%
1 - 3
4.6%
Score & goals probability table
CastrumFavara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nocerina 0 0.2% 0.8% 1.5% 2.0% 1.9% 1.5%
1 0.5% 1.8% 3.5% 4.6% 4.4% 3.5%
2 0.5% 2.1% 4.1% 5.3% 5.2% 4.0%
3 0.4% 1.6% 3.2% 4.1% 4.0% 3.1%
4 0.2% 0.9% 1.8% 2.4% 2.3% 1.8%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNocerinaCastrumFavara
Played34
Form100%100%
Attack53%42%
Defense68%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 3.38 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 23 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nocerina CastrumFavara
HATHAT
Played213224
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Nocerina: WWW • CastrumFavara: WWWW

League goals

Metric Nocerina CastrumFavara
HATHAT
GF total7310448
GF avg3.53.03.32.02.02.0
GA total426123
GA avg2.02.02.00.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNocerinaCastrumFavara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%50%
1.5100%100%50%25%
2.5100%0%50%0%
3.533%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNocerinaCastrumFavara
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricNocerinaCastrumFavara
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNocerinaCastrumFavara
Wins34
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-33-12-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For4333
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricNocerinaCastrumFavara
Form43%57%
Att56%44%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or CastrumFavara and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ William Hill
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away4.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.92 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nocerina = 2.32 (league 1.51), CastrumFavara = 3.88 (league 1.03)

CastrumFavara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nocerina 0 0.2% 0.8% 1.5% 2.0% 1.9% 1.5%
1 0.5% 1.8% 3.5% 4.6% 4.4% 3.5%
2 0.5% 2.1% 4.1% 5.3% 5.2% 4.0%
3 0.4% 1.6% 3.2% 4.1% 4.0% 3.1%
4 0.2% 0.9% 1.8% 2.4% 2.3% 1.8%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% · Draw 13.4% · Away win 47.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1