Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 17:15 • Stadio Ennio Tardini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.93) 1.33 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.2% 27.9% 45.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.8%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Brazil W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Italy W 0 10.3% 13.8% 9.2% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.9% 8.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 4.5% 6.0% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricItaly WBrazil W
Played15
Form33%80%
Attack4%57%
Defense96%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 113 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Italy W Brazil W
HATHAT
Played101347
Wins0%—0%100%50%71%
Draws100%—100%0%0%0%
Loses0%—0%0%50%29%

Form: Italy W: D • Brazil W: LWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Italy W Brazil W
HATHAT
GF total1019615
GF avg1.00.01.03.01.52.1
GA total101279
GA avg1.00.01.00.71.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineItaly WBrazil W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%86%86%
1.50%0%86%29%
2.50%0%29%14%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricItaly WBrazil W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricItaly WBrazil W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricItaly WBrazil W
Wins04
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——4-01-2
Biggest losses———2-0
Goals For1042
Goals Against1013

Model comparison

MetricItaly WBrazil W
Form8%92%
Att7%93%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total34.5%65.5%

Advice: Winner : Brazil W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.11 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ Pinnacle
Away1.95 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Italy W = 0.94 (league 1.93), Brazil W = 1.33 (league 1.13)

Brazil W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Italy W 0 10.3% 13.8% 9.2% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.9% 8.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 4.5% 6.0% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.2% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 45.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1