Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:45 • Goffertstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.89) 1.80 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.6% 20.7% 32.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.0%
1 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Canada W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Netherlands W 0 2.0% 3.6% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
1 4.2% 7.6% 6.8% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
3 3.1% 5.6% 5.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.7% 3.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNetherlands WCanada W
Played25
Form67%60%
Attack11%61%
Defense94%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.57 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Netherlands W Canada W
HATHAT
Played112527
Wins100%0%50%80%0%57%
Draws0%100%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%20%100%43%

Form: Netherlands W: WD • Canada W: WLWWWLL

League goals

Metric Netherlands W Canada W
HATHAT
GF total20214014
GF avg2.00.01.02.80.02.0
GA total101448
GA avg1.00.00.50.82.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNetherlands WCanada W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%57%86%
1.550%0%57%14%
2.50%0%57%14%
3.50%0%29%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNetherlands WCanada W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricNetherlands WCanada W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNetherlands WCanada W
Wins13
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—4-1—
Biggest losses——0-13-0
Goals For2040
Goals Against1013

Model comparison

MetricNetherlands WCanada W
Form31%69%
Att15%85%
Def88%13%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total54.8%45.4%

Advice: Double chance : Netherlands W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Pinnacle
No1.90 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Netherlands W = 2.11 (league 1.89), Canada W = 1.80 (league 1.11)

Canada W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Netherlands W 0 2.0% 3.6% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
1 4.2% 7.6% 6.8% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
3 3.1% 5.6% 5.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.7% 3.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.6% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 32.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1