Super League — Kenya
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.26) 0.62 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.6% 45.6% 34.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
36.1%
0 - 1
22.5%
1 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Nzoia Sugar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kibera Black Stars 0 36.1% 22.5% 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 8.9% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKibera Black StarsNzoia Sugar
Played44
Form75%50%
Attack50%40%
Defense70%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.34 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.83 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kibera Black Stars Nzoia Sugar
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%100%75%50%0%25%
Draws0%0%0%50%100%75%
Loses50%0%25%0%0%0%

Form: Kibera Black Stars: LWWW • Nzoia Sugar: WDDD

League goals

Metric Kibera Black Stars Nzoia Sugar
HATHAT
GF total145224
GF avg0.52.01.31.01.01.0
GA total123123
GA avg0.51.00.80.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKibera Black StarsNzoia Sugar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%50%50%
1.525%25%50%25%
2.525%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKibera Black StarsNzoia Sugar
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricKibera Black StarsNzoia Sugar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricKibera Black StarsNzoia Sugar
Wins01
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-32-1—
Biggest losses0-1———
Goals For1322
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricKibera Black StarsNzoia Sugar
Form60%40%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Kibera Black Stars or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Superbet
Draw3.25 @ William Hill
Away4.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Superbet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kibera Black Stars = 0.40 (league 1.26), Nzoia Sugar = 0.62 (league 0.80)

Nzoia Sugar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kibera Black Stars 0 36.1% 22.5% 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 8.9% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.6% · Draw 45.6% · Away win 34.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1