Super League
— Kenya
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.34)
0.62 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.7% | 46.0% | 35.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
36.9%
0 - 1
23.0%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Nzoia Sugar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kibera Black Stars | 0 | 36.9% | 23.0% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kibera Black Stars | Nzoia Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 75% | 50% |
| Attack | 50% | 40% |
| Defense | 70% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
49%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kibera Black Stars | Nzoia Sugar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Kibera Black Stars: LWWW • Nzoia Sugar: WDDD
League goals
| Metric | Kibera Black Stars | Nzoia Sugar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kibera Black Stars | Nzoia Sugar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kibera Black Stars | Nzoia Sugar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kibera Black Stars | Nzoia Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kibera Black Stars | Nzoia Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 2-3 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kibera Black Stars | Nzoia Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Kibera Black Stars or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Kibera Black Stars = 0.37 (league 1.34), Nzoia Sugar = 0.62 (league 0.80)
| Nzoia Sugar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kibera Black Stars | 0 | 36.9% | 23.0% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.7% · Draw 46.0% · Away win 35.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1