Super League — Kenya
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 10:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.26) 0.31 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.2% 57.2% 19.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
51.3%
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 1
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Naivas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mombasa Elite 0 51.3% 15.9% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.3% 5.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMombasa EliteNaivas
Played44
Form75%83%
Attack33%42%
Defense75%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 15 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.81 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

42%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mombasa Elite Naivas
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%100%50%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%25%
Loses0%50%25%0%0%0%

Form: Mombasa Elite: WWWL • Naivas: WWDW

League goals

Metric Mombasa Elite Naivas
HATHAT
GF total314415
GF avg1.50.51.02.00.51.3
GA total123101
GA avg0.51.00.80.50.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMombasa EliteNaivas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%75%25%
1.525%25%25%0%
2.50%0%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMombasa EliteNaivas
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricMombasa EliteNaivas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMombasa EliteNaivas
Wins32
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-10-1
Biggest losses—2-0——
Goals For2131
Goals Against1210

Model comparison

MetricMombasa EliteNaivas
Form47%53%
Att44%56%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h7%93%
Goals0%100%
Total30.8%69.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Naivas and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.30 @ William Hill
Away2.82 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mombasa Elite = 0.36 (league 1.26), Naivas = 0.31 (league 0.81)

Naivas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mombasa Elite 0 51.3% 15.9% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.3% 5.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.2% · Draw 57.2% · Away win 19.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1