Super League
— Kenya
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 10:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.26)
0.31 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.7% | 41.8% | 13.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
33.2%
1 - 0
26.3%
2 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Mombasa Elite | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nzoia Sugar | 0 | 33.2% | 10.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.3% | 8.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Mombasa Elite |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 80% |
| Attack | 80% | 100% |
| Defense | 40% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
43%
FT probability
2.5+
30%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
46%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Mombasa Elite | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 20% | 100% | 50% | 80% |
| Draws | 50% | 100% | 80% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
Form: Nzoia Sugar: WDDDD • Mombasa Elite: WWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Mombasa Elite | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nzoia Sugar | Mombasa Elite | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 40% | 80% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Mombasa Elite | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Mombasa Elite |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Mombasa Elite |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Mombasa Elite |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 51.3% | 48.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Nzoia Sugar or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nzoia Sugar = 0.79 (league 1.26), Mombasa Elite = 0.31 (league 0.81)
| Mombasa Elite | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nzoia Sugar | 0 | 33.2% | 10.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.3% | 8.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 41.8% · Away win 13.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1