Welsh Cup — Wales
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 14:30 • The Oval
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 2.17) 0.05 (league 2.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.9% 25.5% 1.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
33.0%
0 - 0
23.8%
2 - 0
22.8%
Score & goals probability table
Penrhyncoch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caernarfon Town 0 23.8% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaernarfon TownPenrhyncoch
Played12
Form100%100%
Attack14%18%
Defense100%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 34 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 01 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caernarfon Town Penrhyncoch
HATHAT
Played011112
Wins—100%100%100%100%100%
Draws—0%0%0%0%0%
Loses—0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Caernarfon Town: W • Penrhyncoch: WW

League goals

Metric Caernarfon Town Penrhyncoch
HATHAT
GF total033224
GF avg0.03.03.02.02.02.0
GA total000011
GA avg0.00.00.00.01.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaernarfon TownPenrhyncoch
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%50%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.5100%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaernarfon TownPenrhyncoch
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricCaernarfon TownPenrhyncoch
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCaernarfon TownPenrhyncoch
Wins12
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-32-01-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For0322
Goals Against0001

Model comparison

MetricCaernarfon TownPenrhyncoch
Form33%67%
Att43%57%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : Caernarfon Town or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.06 @ 1xBet
Draw13.00 @ Bet365
Away41.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.28 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.58 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.75 @ Bet365
No1.27 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caernarfon Town = 1.38 (league 2.17), Penrhyncoch = 0.05 (league 2.13)

Penrhyncoch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caernarfon Town 0 23.8% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.9% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 1.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1