Welsh Cup — Wales
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 14:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 2.15) 5.63 (league 2.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.5% 5.6% 40.0%
best score tips
1 - 5
4.9%
2 - 5
4.6%
1 - 4
4.4%
Score & goals probability table
Cardiff Draconians
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trefelin 0 0.1% 0.3% 0.9% 1.7% 2.3% 2.6%
1 0.1% 0.6% 1.7% 3.1% 4.4% 4.9%
2 0.1% 0.5% 1.5% 2.9% 4.0% 4.6%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.9% 1.8% 2.5% 2.8%
4 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrefelinCardiff Draconians
Played21
Form100%100%
Attack30%26%
Defense87%96%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 3.56 | 6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 1.51 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

9.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

10.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

100%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trefelin Cardiff Draconians
HATHAT
Played112011
Wins100%100%100%—100%100%
Draws0%0%0%—0%0%
Loses0%0%0%—0%0%

Form: Trefelin: WW • Cardiff Draconians: W

League goals

Metric Trefelin Cardiff Draconians
HATHAT
GF total437066
GF avg4.03.03.50.06.06.0
GA total213011
GA avg2.01.01.50.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrefelinCardiff Draconians
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%50%100%0%
2.5100%0%100%0%
3.550%0%100%0%
4.50%0%100%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrefelinCardiff Draconians
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricTrefelinCardiff Draconians
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTrefelinCardiff Draconians
Wins21
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-3—1-6
Biggest losses————
Goals For4306
Goals Against2101

Model comparison

MetricTrefelinCardiff Draconians
Form67%33%
Att54%46%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Trefelin and +3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.55 @ 1xBet
Draw4.40 @ Unibet
Away1.52 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Trefelin = 1.86 (league 2.15), Cardiff Draconians = 5.63 (league 2.13)

Cardiff Draconians
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trefelin 0 0.1% 0.3% 0.9% 1.7% 2.3% 2.6%
1 0.1% 0.6% 1.7% 3.1% 4.4% 4.9%
2 0.1% 0.5% 1.5% 2.9% 4.0% 4.6%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.9% 1.8% 2.5% 2.8%
4 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.5% · Draw 5.6% · Away win 40.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1