Welsh Cup — Wales
Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 19:45 • Cyncoed Campus
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.31 (league 2.17) 0.94 (league 2.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.0% 18.1% 13.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
The New Saints
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff MET 0 3.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.0% 8.4% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.7% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.0% 7.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 4.6% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCardiff METThe New Saints
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack21%8%
Defense96%96%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 52 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 11 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

64%
FT probability

BTTS

98%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cardiff MET The New Saints
HATHAT
Played101011
Wins100%—100%—100%100%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses0%—0%—0%0%

Form: Cardiff MET: W • The New Saints: W

League goals

Metric Cardiff MET The New Saints
HATHAT
GF total505022
GF avg5.00.05.00.02.02.0
GA total101011
GA avg1.00.01.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCardiff METThe New Saints
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.5100%0%0%0%
3.5100%0%0%0%
4.5100%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCardiff METThe New Saints
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricCardiff METThe New Saints
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCardiff METThe New Saints
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-1——1-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For5002
Goals Against1001

Model comparison

MetricCardiff METThe New Saints
Form50%50%
Att71%29%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h20%80%
Goals24%76%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : Cardiff MET and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.20 @ 10Bet
Draw4.90 @ Unibet
Away1.56 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.56 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cardiff MET = 2.31 (league 2.17), The New Saints = 0.94 (league 2.13)

The New Saints
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff MET 0 3.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.0% 8.4% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.7% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.0% 7.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 4.6% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.0% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 13.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1